Is COVID-19 (or any other similar situation or natural disasters) God's judgment or punishment? We need to remember that the fall left humanity and all of creation under judgement, that nothing in this world is the way it was supposed to be. So indirectly, all such things are the effects of the curse.
In Romans 8:18-12 we learn that at present there is suffering, in the future there will be glory, and that creation itself longs to be set free from the effects of the curse. This sermon offers three ways in which we should respond and also reminds us to stop hoping for this world at this time to be like heaven.